Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000494 0.000536 0.000580 0.000629 0.000682 0.000737 0.000800
2026-02-08 0.000426 0.000484 0.000547 0.000619 0.000702 0.000793 0.000900
2026-02-15 0.000378 0.000445 0.000521 0.000612 0.000719 0.000841 0.000990
2026-02-22 0.000341 0.000414 0.000499 0.000605 0.000733 0.000883 0.001073
2026-03-01 0.000311 0.000389 0.000481 0.000599 0.000746 0.000922 0.001151
2026-03-08 0.000284 0.000364 0.000461 0.000588 0.000750 0.000949 0.001214
2026-03-15 0.000262 0.000343 0.000444 0.000579 0.000755 0.000977 0.001277
2026-03-22 0.000240 0.000321 0.000424 0.000564 0.000751 0.000991 0.001323
2026-03-29 0.000223 0.000305 0.000410 0.000556 0.000754 0.001013 0.001379
2026-04-05 0.000211 0.000292 0.000400 0.000553 0.000763 0.001044 0.001447
2026-04-12 0.000201 0.000283 0.000394 0.000554 0.000778 0.001081 0.001524
2026-04-19 0.000190 0.000273 0.000386 0.000552 0.000787 0.001111 0.001593
2026-04-26 0.000177 0.000259 0.000373 0.000542 0.000787 0.001131 0.001651
2026-05-03 0.000166 0.000247 0.000361 0.000534 0.000790 0.001155 0.001715
2026-05-10 0.000155 0.000236 0.000351 0.000528 0.000794 0.001180 0.001783
2026-05-17 0.000146 0.000225 0.000341 0.000522 0.000798 0.001206 0.001853
2026-05-24 0.000138 0.000216 0.000332 0.000517 0.000803 0.001231 0.001923
2026-05-31 0.000129 0.000206 0.000321 0.000507 0.000800 0.001246 0.001975
2026-06-07 0.000122 0.000197 0.000312 0.000500 0.000800 0.001263 0.002034
2026-06-14 0.000114 0.000187 0.000299 0.000487 0.000791 0.001266 0.002069
2026-06-21 0.000107 0.000179 0.000291 0.000479 0.000790 0.001282 0.002124
2026-06-28 0.000103 0.000173 0.000285 0.000477 0.000796 0.001310 0.002200
2026-07-05 0.000099 0.000169 0.000282 0.000478 0.000809 0.001347 0.002292